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Evaluate Blue Apron Meals And Pricing

CompanyBlue ApronSimulation ID693407c0CompletedApr 3, 2026, 6:08 AMSample size990 (495/495)StatusCompleted
Recommendation
SHIP

Hypothesis

Hiding the calorie filter buttons will increase the added_to_cart metric for users evaluating meals without calorie-based filtering.

Control (original)
Full menu (with calorie filter)
https://www.blueapron.com 
Treatment (variant)
Menu without calorie filter
https://www.blueapron.com (same URL, variant applied via JS) 

Result

Hiding the calorie filter lifts add-to-cart rate by +18.8% (48.5% → 57.6%, p<0.01) with no measurable impact on checkout reach (~12% in both variants). Menu visitation was universal.

Wins

What treatment did better
  • Per-serving price scan as the real decision moment+12%
  • Solo and couple shoppers rejecting the Family Style bundle+11%

Losses

What treatment did worse
  • Time-pressed users gravitating to 15-minute and Assemble & Bake meals-5%

Open questions

Worth investigating next
  • Visitors bypassing the homepage hero for the Menu link
  • Weeknight cooks rejecting the 65-minute bundle prep time

Metrics

Relative lift over Control · 95% CI · two-proportion z-test
Group byFilter
Metric
Control
Treatment
-50%0+42%
Δ (95% CI)
p
visited_menu
100.00%
99.80%
-0.2%
[-0.6%, +0.2%]
0.317
added_to_cart
48.48%
57.58%
+18.8%
[+6.0%, +31.5%]
0.004
visited_checkout
12.32%
11.52%
-6.6%
[-39.3%, +26.2%]
0.695
visited_menu User visited the menu page
added_to_cart User added a meal to their cart
visited_checkout User reached the checkout page

Wins

What worked — supports shipping.
Control 51.4% (420 users) → Treatment 63.2% (421 users) on added_to_cart

Across both arms users describe reaching the standard meal-kit grid showing $9.99–$13.99/serving with 25–45 min times as the 'finally useful' / 'speaking my language' beat — this is where engagement and recipe clicks concentrate, often paired with mental comparisons against takeout.

CThis is the part I actually care about. The meal kit cards are clean, and I can clock the important stuff fast: chicken for $11.49 a serving, shrimp stir-fry for $11.99, pork chops for $11.99, pesto pasta at $12.99, with prep times from 15 to 40 minutes. That already feels more usable than a lot of these sites.
#5088d691@ 0:53▶ Play
TThis is finally speaking my language. I’m seeing $9.99, $11.99, $12.99 a serving, plus the times right there, and salmon in twenty-five minutes is actually attractive on a Wednesday.
#596b2b32@ 0:44▶ Play
Control 50.9% (212 users) → Treatment 61.9% (202 users) on added_to_cart

The $45.99-for-4 / $68.99-for-6 Family Style bundle is the first concrete price anchor on /menu, but single-eater and two-person-household personas explicitly dismiss it as 'not my lane' on portion size before scrolling to per-serving cards.

CThese are actually closer to what I need on the prep side, but $13.49 a serving for sandwiches and another chicken option makes me mentally do the family math pretty fast, and once dinner for four starts drifting into the fifty-dollar range I need to know if the family-style stuff feels more worth it or if I’d just be…
#add78b08@ 1:09▶ Play
TThere we go, calories and protein right where I can see them, which I appreciate. That little “members get free shipping” line is exactly the kind of thing that makes me suspicious there’s some fee tucked in later, so I want to see just a hair more before I decide whether this is clever meal planning or just expensive…
#118a4408@ 1:22▶ Play
Control 46.9% (147 users) → Treatment 60.7% (150 users) on added_to_cart

On /menu, a substantial cohort notices the zip-code/delivery-date prompt and explicitly declines to enter it, framing it as premature commitment and scrolling past to evaluate meals first.

CThis is more like it. There’s a zip code field up top, but I’m not giving them that just to browse. I can already see “Meal Kits,” “Dish by Blue Apron,” and “Assemble & Bake,” which is useful because I know I’m way more likely to do the actual cooking kits than some mystery shortcut thing if I’m trying to make dinner…
#5088d691@ 0:25▶ Play
TThis is already closer. I can see there are actual categories and a filter button, but the giant zip code strip is kind of annoying because I don’t need delivery dates yet.
#87d128a4@ 0:23▶ Play

Losses

What broke — fix or rethink.
Control 14.6% (103 users) → Treatment 9.4% (106 users) on visited_checkout

A sub-cohort clicks the 15-Min Meal tag, Dish ready-meals, or Assemble & Bake category as their explicit weeknight shortcut — sometimes calling out Spring Pesto & Prosciutto Pasta by name. This appears more prominently in treatment as a substitute heuristic when calorie filtering is unavailable.

CThis is more like it. Fifteen minutes is exactly the kind of number I can sell at home, and seeing a 4-servings option matters because I’m not ordering individual adult dinners for a family of four.
#46006fab@ 1:06▶ Play
TFifteen minutes and twelve ninety-nine is exactly the kind of tradeoff I can picture on a Tuesday when both of us are fried and I don’t want to stand there chopping forever.
#6cd034a4@ 0:59▶ Play

Open questions

Worth investigating — fuel for the next test.
485 control users · 484 treatment users

Across both arms, users distrust the 'Meet the new Blue Apron' hero copy and the 'Shop now' CTA (suspecting a signup funnel) and click the top-nav Menu link as their first real navigation to see food and prices directly.

CThese are actually closer to what I need on the prep side, but $13.49 a serving for sandwiches and another chicken option makes me mentally do the family math pretty fast, and once dinner for four starts drifting into the fifty-dollar range I need to know if the family-style stuff feels more worth it or if I’d just be…
#add78b08@ 1:09▶ Play
TThere we go, calories and protein right where I can see them, which I appreciate. That little “members get free shipping” line is exactly the kind of thing that makes me suspicious there’s some fee tucked in later, so I want to see just a hair more before I decide whether this is clever meal planning or just expensive…
#118a4408@ 1:22▶ Play
116 control users · 110 treatment users

A distinct sub-cohort accepts the family-bundle price but rejects it specifically because the 65-minute total cook time is incompatible with weeknight cooking, then scrolls onward to faster meal kits.

CThere we go, that’s more like it. Forty-six bucks for four is at least in the realm of sane, though sixty-five minutes is longer than I’d love on a Tuesday when somebody’s at practice and somebody else forgot to mention they need poster board by eight.
#a11ccadd@ 0:37▶ Play
TI like that they’re at least showing “starting at $68.99” and not making me decode a subscription chart, but 60 active minutes is kind of a lot on a Tuesday when somebody has soccer and somebody else forgot about a science project.
#4ae848a2@ 0:54▶ Play
135 control users · 143 treatment users

Users click into a single recipe modal/page (shrimp stir-fry, pesto salmon, chicken parm, 15-min pasta) to compare 'active' vs 'total' time and confirm servings before adding to cart, then often bounce back to /menu rather than continuing deeper.

CThat’s actually the kind of breakdown I wanted. Active ten minutes and total thirty is way more believable than a vague “easy,” and two servings would put this at basically twenty-six bucks for one dinner, which is not cheap-cheap but also not outrageous compared with grabbing takeout after the gym.
#031f478a@ 1:28▶ Play
TThis pop-up is better than I expected. Active 10 minutes, total 35, and there’s already an Add button without making me answer a quiz first, which I appreciate. I still want to see the calories before I get too attached, because hot honey garlic bread plus buffalo cheddar has “tastes amazing, leaves me in a food coma…
#45f01ebb@ 0:59▶ Play

Session replays

989 sessions
069691c4control visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout
EM
Elena Masterson· Culinary explorer rediscovering her love for cooking with convenient meal kits that surprise and delight.3:55
View profile
Persona Summary
Name
Elena Masterson
Tagline
Culinary explorer rediscovering her love for cooking with convenient meal kits that surprise and delight.
Life Snapshot
Country
United States (Nashville, Tennessee)
Family
Enjoys her empty nest with occasional visits from her adult children; balances culinary experiments with volunteering at a local food bank.
Work Rhythm
Works part-time as a marketing consultant, utilizing mornings for creative projects and afternoons for exploring new recipes.
Demographics
Age
42
Sex
Female
Education
B.A. in Communications
Occupation
Part-time Marketing Consultant
Income
65000 USD
Household
Lives alone in a cozy apartment decorated with artwork and plants.
Digital Behavior
Browsing Style
Primarily uses her tablet for easy recipe viewing; keeps a handful of tabbed pages for favorite meal prep videos and recipe blogs.
Information Capture
Jots down ingredient adjustments in a note-taking app and saves recipe links to revisit later.
Patience Window
Will invest up to 20 minutes in a new platform before expressing frustration and looking for alternatives.
Usage Context & Friction Patterns
Browsing Environment
Enjoys browsing while sipping tea on her sofa, often during late afternoons or weekends.
Session Goals
Aims to find interesting meal options that introduce her to new cuisines while ensuring they fit her dietary preferences.
Goals & Motivations
Primary Goal
Discover and order new meal kits that inspire her to cook creative dishes at home.
Secondary Goal
Share her culinary experiences and newfound recipes with friends and family through social media.
Contact Details (use exactly as shown on any signup or registration form)
Phone
(310) 294-1513
Email
user.2434e883@mailtest.dev
AI
Simulation Q&A
Has the full experiment context
Ask about the overall simulation or this specific session. Watching session 069691c4 (control).
Try: “What's the strongest evidence to ship?” or “Why did added_to_cart move +18.8%?
Loading replay...
Transcript · 30 entries
0:00I’m just trying to get the quick read here, not turn this into homework. If I can see what kinds of meals they’re actually showing and whether the pricing feels reasonable without getting funneled into some giant sign-up thing, that’s enough for me. Blue Apron has been around forever, so part of me is curious if it still feels a little dated or if they’ve made it easier to browse like a normal person.
0:00That privacy box is parked right in the middle of the food, and I’m not in the mood to read corporate housekeeping before I even see dinner. I just want it out of the way so I can tell if they’re showing me real meals or just another polished homepage with a giant “trust us” energy.
0:00click — /
0:00“Meet the new Blue Apron” tells me nothing, and “Shop now” on a meal kit site usually means “start giving us your email.” The “Menu” link up top is the one that feels like it might actually show me the food first, which is really all I need right now because if the meals don’t look appealing there’s no point caring what the weekly total is.
0:00click — /
0:00This is already better because at least I’m looking at an actual menu instead of a giant promise, but they’re asking for my zip code right away and I’m not doing that just to browse. I can see “Meal Kits,” “Dish by Blue Apron,” and “Assemble & Bake,” so I want to get down to the actual dishes and see whether there’s enough variety to make this feel fun instead of repetitive.
0:00scroll — /menu
0:00There we go, at least I’m seeing numbers now. Forty-five ninety-nine for four and sixty-eight ninety-nine for six is useful, but those family bundles aren’t really my life most weeks unless the kids happen to be in town, and I’m more interested in the regular meal kits anyway because that’s where the interesting flavors usually live.
0:00scroll — /menu
0:00This is the first useful screen because I can actually compare without squinting. Eleven ninety-nine, twelve ninety-nine, thirteen ninety-nine per serving and the times are short, which is appealing on a weeknight, but this “Baked by Melissa” section feels a little more polished-prepared than what I’m in the mood for. I want the actual meal kits tab because that’s probably where the more creative recipes and maybe a vegetarian option are hiding.
0:00click — /menu
0:00This is more my speed. I’m seeing things like shrimp stir-fry at eleven ninety-nine a serving and that spring pesto pasta at twelve ninety-nine, so the price range seems kind of in the expected meal-kit zone, not cheap exactly but not shocking either. What I still need is whether they make it easy to narrow this down, because if I’m craving lighter or meatless meals some weeks and the filter is annoying, I know that’ll get old fast.
0:00click — /menu
0:00This is exactly the kind of thing I wanted to see, because if the filter menu is this straightforward then at least they understand how people actually browse dinner. I can see “Vegetarian” sitting right there under protein, so I’m just going to tap that and see whether the site responds cleanly instead of making me feel like I’m sorting through a spreadsheet.
0:00click — /menu
0:00The button lit up, good. That’s such a small thing but I notice it because half these sites make you wonder whether anything happened. If they can show me a handful of vegetarian meals with prices in one pass, that’s probably enough for me to decide whether this would actually fit into my week or if it’s more of a once-in-a-while splurge.
0:00click — /menu
0:00Interesting, the vegetarian prices drop a bit, which I like immediately. Eight ninety-nine for the veggie enchilada skillet and nine ninety-nine for the miso glazed tofu bowls is more comfortable than the chicken and shrimp dishes I just saw, even if these two are marked sold out. I want to nudge up just a little and see whether there are a couple more options, because two sold-out meals by themselves don’t quite tell me how solid the menu really is.
0:00scroll — /menu
0:00“Creamy Roasted Red Pepper Pasta” is exactly the kind of weeknight thing I’d actually talk myself into ordering, because it feels comforting without being boring, and nine ninety-nine a serving is a lot easier to swallow than sixteen forty-nine for that burger. I still want one closer look at a real dish page in case it tells me whether this is serving-two territory with decent leftovers or something annoyingly vague.
0:00click — /menu
0:00This is actually helpful because now I can see the structure. Two servings or four servings makes sense for me since I’d either have dinner plus leftovers or something to share if someone’s over, and nine ninety-nine a serving reads very differently once I translate it into an actual meal total in my head. I’d rather see the cart do the math than sit here multiplying while my tea gets cold.
0:00click — /menu
0:00It’s making me explicitly choose “2 servings” first, which is slightly fussy but fine. I’d rather have that than get surprised by a four-serving default and some weird total, because for me the whole question is whether a simple pasta dinner lands closer to twenty dollars or forty.
0:00click — /menu
0:00Now that I can see “Add — $19.98,” the math feels real instead of abstract. For one pasta meal with leftovers, twenty bucks is not outrageous to me at all, especially compared with takeout, but I know meal kits love to look reasonable until some extra fee appears one screen later. I’m curious enough to let the cart show its hand once, and if it immediately tries to shove me into sign-up, that tells me something too.
0:00click — /menu
0:00The cart bubble in the corner still just says nineteen ninety-eight, which is promising because at least nothing inflated instantly. I’m willing to click that once because if there’s a shipping charge or a weird minimum, this is where it should show up, and if it just dumps me into account creation then I’ve basically learned the limit of what they’ll reveal without the whole commitment dance.
0:00click — /menu
0:00Mmm, no, that $11.49 shipping on top of a $19.98 two-serving pasta is exactly the kind of total that makes me think I can just swing by the store and cook something fun myself tonight.
OutcomesVariantvisited_menuadded_to_cartvisited_checkout
AttributesAgeSexIncomeHousehold
SessionVariantPersonaOutcomesDuration
069691c4controlElena Masterson visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout3:55
902ca335treatmentEvelyn Parker visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout3:01
5eac55f1treatmentEmily Carter visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout3:40
35326e0dcontrolAlex Chen visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout3:52
0329ec85controlDerek Lawson visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout2:36
4418674btreatmentNathan Chen visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout4:39
8ab27574controlLisa Morgan visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout3:19
6c088003treatmentMichelle Carter visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout3:12
7b0fbcaatreatmentMartin Caldwell visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout5:33
b31c3206controlLaura Bennett visited_menu added_to_cart visited_checkout2:04
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